(Reuters) - In today's highly
polarized political environment it is somewhat surprising to find voters who
backed John
McCain in 2008 and now support President Barack Obama, but they
exist.
Roughly 5 percent of respondents in Reuters/Ipsos polls said they chose the
Republican contender in 2008 and will switch to Obama in 2012. This number
peaked at around 9 percent two separate times over the summer, according to data
collected since January.Who are these defectors?
Jeff Waltrip, 56, is a retired electrician
and retail worker who has voted Republican all his life. But in his view Obama
"has done a good job with what he was left with, and I truly believe that
allowing Mitt
Romney in there is going to make the world a whole lot worse than it is
now." Waltrip said he liked the Republican ticket in 2008 because McCain is a
veteran and because Sarah Palin "made me laugh."
The McCain-to-Obama switchers are 55
percent male, and 34 percent of them are 55 or older. (Overall, Obama trails
Romney 34 percent to 52 percent among white men over 50.) About 72 percent of
them are white.
They are largely from the East Coast;
nearly 4 in 10 live in the mid- or South Atlantic. Nearly 3 in 10 finished their
education after high school, and nearly 2 in 10 have a bachelor's degree.
Two-thirds say they are absolutely going to vote, choosing "10" on a 1-10
scale for likelihood of voting.
Even though 38 percent of all voters
believe the economy is the election's most prominent issue, just one-third of
the McCain defectors agree. Character matters more.
"Right now if I had to choose it would be
Obama, because he's more personable," said William Holliday, a 58-year-old
retiree from Convis Township, Michigan. "Romney has changed his position so many
damn times, you don't know what he thinks at all. But they're both liars."
Holliday said that in general he leans
Republican. "I did vote for McCain four years ago in spite of the fact he picked
Palin. Because I thought that was a cheap trick he pulled there." He worries
that if Romney is elected he will put "Cheney and Rumsfeld back in there to run
the show."
Jeffrey Baker, 56, a retiree in Strong,
Maine, thinks Romney's refusal to release his taxes disqualifies him. "If you
can't be honest from the start, I don't want you in the Oval Office," he said.
Romney, whose personal worth has been estimated at roughly $250 million, has
faced criticism from Democrats for not releasing enough years' worth of his tax
returns.
"Four years ago I voted for John McCain
because I thought he was more experienced, and I thought we needed someone with
some military background," Baker said. "Mitt Romney - I don't believe he has the
experience that's needed. He's a businessman, he knows how to make money. That's
all well and good, but we've got people to worry about."
Baker is unhappy with the entire campaign.
"There's nothing going on. No information, no nothing," he said. "Everybody says
they're going to do this, they're going to do that. But nobody says how they're
going to do it."
He's basing his vote on a general sense
that "Obama is more for the whole country than Romney is," alluding to the
leaked video. "Romney, that's his honest feelings. He doesn't really care about
the 47 percent."
Waltrip also believes Romney is out of
touch with lower-income Americans, and he mistrusts the candidate's religious
convictions.
"I've always felt like the Mormon Church
was more of a cult," Waltrip said. "I'm sort of afraid that his interests are
going to be strictly for the Mormon Church."
Overall about 34 percent of likely voters
said they would be less likely to vote for a presidential candidate if he or she
were Mormon, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll conducted during the week ending
October 21.
The defectors to Obama remain a smaller
subset of respondents than those who voted for him in 2008 and now support
Romney. The Reuters/Ipsos polling shows 10 percent of voters plan to cross the
aisle in that direction.
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